The expectation, going back to late 2019, was that the Turkey-Libya maritime MoU would eventually be locked in as Libyan law. Tripoli’s Government of National Accord signed it under Turkish protection, and the assumption was that the House of Representatives would, sooner or later, ratify it. That would have given Ankara a clear legal corridor across the eastern Mediterranean, cutting straight through Greek and Cypriot claims, and would have cemented Turkey’s hand in any future offshore licensing. On paper, the deal would have redrawn…
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