19 Mar 2025

08:31

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Demand Rising despite Instability

Shirin Yousefi

Publish Date: 2021/07/04

Share Report
Demand Rising despite Instability

Recent oil and crude price fluctuations
As you know, we have the weekly market analysis and recent fluctuations

in the following. As the first point to be mentioned, Brent crude traded

down 0.07 percent at $75.78 a barrel on the morning of Friday, July 2, 2021. Brent crude traded at $76.74 a barrel on Friday, hitting $75.84. Moreover,

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude is currently trading at $75.25 a barrel. According to experts, Brent crude is technically below $75.89-76.09

and is between 75.69-75.49. The dollar will also be supported.

Market rising prices amid the instabilities
On the other hand, the outbreak of a new strain of the coronavirus

known as “delta” has raised concerns in global markets. Respectively, the resumption of corona restrictions will have a negative impact on crude oil prices. Furthermore, the exchange rate of the US dollar against the Rial rose last week. Professional economic analysts predict that the exchange rate of one US

dollar is between 210,000 and 230,000 Riyals. Due to this increase, buyers

are looking for lower offers in the market. Iranian refineries compete in

Tehran with a base price of BV of up to 12%. Therefore, VB is

expected to rise again by about US $15 in the second half of the Iranian month.

India market and the effective variables
It’s also needful to mention that the monsoon remains the major phenomenon

in India, with the Indian refinery reducing the price by approximately US

$13 WEF on July 1, 2021. However, following the reduction in new

COVID-19 cases and a less strict lockdown, it has there has been a lot of

demand in the country. To be more specific, the crude oil market

touched its pre-pandemic levels in the last week of June and soared to a two-year high. In fact, Brent closed the week at $75.11 and WTI soared to $73.97. Giants of the oil market did not declare any specific support for the crude;

therefore, the oil was nearly stable.

As shipping lines have faced huge losses in the first six months of 2021,

they are going to apply GRI in distinct steps until September. Consequently, an increase of about $1718 /MT is probable in Freight rates.

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